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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.39+7.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+6.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+2.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+3.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+0.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.36+3.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+1.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01+2.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-0.12vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-0.94vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.77-2.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.37-2.75vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.56-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.26-4.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-6.64vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.43-3.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.02-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Boston University1.395.8%1st Place
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8.43Brown University1.725.8%1st Place
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5.37Bowdoin College2.3814.8%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.788.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.1812.6%1st Place
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9.2Boston College1.364.8%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.514.9%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University1.013.5%1st Place
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8.88Brown University1.425.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College1.344.7%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University1.775.7%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College1.375.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston College1.565.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.264.5%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.0%1st Place
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12.68Connecticut College0.432.1%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University-0.021.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Jed Bell | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Connor Macken | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| matthew Monts | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| William Bedford | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Nick Budington | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 24.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.