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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+5.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+4.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-1.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-2.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-3.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-3.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.51-0.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.38-4.86vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71-0.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.24-4.03vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81+0.39vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.11-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.5Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.55Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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16.39Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.54Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| John Wallace | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 25.8% | 14.3% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 20.6% | 70.8% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 49.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.