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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.77+8.07vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+4.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.01+7.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+5.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+4.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18-0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+1.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+0.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.59vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-1.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.37-1.82vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.56-3.46vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.34-3.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.43-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.26-5.37vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.02-2.37vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.38-11.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Harvard University1.774.5%1st Place
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6.9North Carolina State University1.789.2%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University1.013.8%1st Place
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9.02Boston College1.365.7%1st Place
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9.05Brown University1.425.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.1810.3%1st Place
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8.78Boston University1.395.8%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.515.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University1.724.7%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College1.374.8%1st Place
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8.54Boston College1.566.2%1st Place
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9.25Eckerd College1.344.7%1st Place
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12.68Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island1.264.8%1st Place
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13.63Salve Regina University-0.021.4%1st Place
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5.11Bowdoin College2.3815.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Adam Larson | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Connor Macken | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Jed Bell | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Nick Budington | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| matthew Monts | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 23.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 36.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.