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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+4.26vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+5.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+6.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+5.10vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.37+4.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+3.00vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.77+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.26+1.62vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.18-3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.56-1.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-2.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.01-1.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43-0.47vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.34-4.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-6.57vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-7.28vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.02-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Bowdoin College2.3814.5%1st Place
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7.09North Carolina State University1.788.8%1st Place
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9.03Boston University1.394.9%1st Place
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9.1Boston College1.365.0%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College1.375.3%1st Place
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9.0Brown University1.425.9%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University1.774.6%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.264.5%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.1811.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston College1.565.3%1st Place
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8.53Brown University1.725.8%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University1.013.4%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College0.432.3%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College1.345.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.5%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.516.2%1st Place
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13.66Salve Regina University-0.021.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| William Bedford | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Connor Macken | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Jonas Nelle | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Jed Bell | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
| matthew Monts | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.