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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.14vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+4.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+2.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+4.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+0.97vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.24vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.16vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+1.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.35vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-5.08vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.71+0.49vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.24-1.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.08vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.81+1.35vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.11-0.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.51-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.51Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.41George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.49Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.13SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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16.35Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.54Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wallace | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 27.0% | 11.8% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 21.4% | 68.8% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 50.0% | 27.3% |
| Charles Peck | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.