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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+4.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+5.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+1.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+3.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-1.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-2.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.41vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-1.33vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.71+0.52vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.24-1.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.51-3.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.21vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81+0.41vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.11-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.8Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.52Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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16.41Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.54Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 28.9% | 11.6% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Peck | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 21.6% | 70.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 50.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.