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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.24vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+5.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.08+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+3.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+4.61vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60+5.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+3.87vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-5.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.79+0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-1.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.24-3.29vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-3.31vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.90-3.88vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.99-4.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-5.42vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.07-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
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7.15North Carolina State University1.998.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College1.084.7%1st Place
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7.37Boston College1.617.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University0.973.5%1st Place
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11.29Connecticut College0.603.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University1.554.9%1st Place
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3.57University of Rhode Island2.7824.6%1st Place
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10.37Brown University0.794.0%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.043.7%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.245.1%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University0.974.8%1st Place
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10.12Eckerd College0.904.3%1st Place
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10.07Yale University0.992.3%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College0.883.3%1st Place
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9.6Boston College1.074.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% |
| Graham Ness | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.6% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.