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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+2.61vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+7.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.99+6.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+3.49vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.08+4.85vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90+4.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04+2.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.88+2.59vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.99-1.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.86-3.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.24-2.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.60-0.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.79-2.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-3.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.07-5.34vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-6.30vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.55-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Rhode Island2.7824.2%1st Place
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9.53Boston University0.973.5%1st Place
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9.84Yale University0.994.5%1st Place
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7.49Boston College1.617.0%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College1.084.2%1st Place
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10.1Eckerd College0.903.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.045.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College0.883.0%1st Place
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7.28North Carolina State University1.997.3%1st Place
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6.27Brown University1.8610.2%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.245.6%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College0.602.5%1st Place
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10.42Brown University0.793.2%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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9.66Boston College1.073.5%1st Place
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9.7Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University1.556.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.2% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Graham Ness | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Garrett Blosen | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| Scott Harris | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.7% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.