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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.71+11.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+6.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+2.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+1.98vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80-0.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55-0.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-4.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.71vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-3.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.24-2.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.51-4.84vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.11-0.48vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.25Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.58Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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15.52Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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16.46Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 27.7% | 12.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Peck | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 51.5% | 26.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 20.2% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.