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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+2.87vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+3.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+2.25vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+2.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.26vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.40vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.24+1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-4.02vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-2.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-4.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.02vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.81+1.34vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.71-3.44vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.11-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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4.87Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.62Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.25Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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16.34Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.56Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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15.55Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| John Wallace | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 23.5% | 67.8% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 26.8% | 12.3% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 47.9% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.