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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.07+7.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+0.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.24+4.67vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.99+4.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.61+0.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.88+2.39vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.60+2.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.08-0.19vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-1.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.79-1.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.90-3.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-4.54vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-5.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-5.30vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.55-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Brown University1.869.8%1st Place
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9.53Boston College1.074.5%1st Place
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3.53University of Rhode Island2.7822.9%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University1.245.8%1st Place
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7.31North Carolina State University1.997.8%1st Place
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10.04Yale University0.994.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College1.616.3%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College0.884.0%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College0.602.5%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College1.083.8%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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10.53Brown University0.793.2%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College0.904.0%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.043.8%1st Place
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9.72Boston University0.973.8%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University0.693.6%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University1.555.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 22.9% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% |
| Scott Harris | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Graham Ness | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.