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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+2.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+4.31vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+4.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.07+4.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.79+4.49vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.99+3.03vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.08+1.80vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.60+2.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.24-1.05vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.55-3.67vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-3.29vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-3.65vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-4.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-6.49vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.97-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Rhode Island2.7824.9%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.869.3%1st Place
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7.1North Carolina State University1.998.2%1st Place
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7.46Boston College1.617.5%1st Place
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9.59Boston College1.073.6%1st Place
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10.49Brown University0.793.5%1st Place
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10.03Yale University0.994.0%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College1.084.2%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College0.603.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.244.2%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College0.903.5%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University1.555.2%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University0.973.4%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College0.883.7%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University0.693.4%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.043.7%1st Place
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9.62Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.9% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Graham Ness | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% |
| William Bailey | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.