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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+8.58vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+5.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.61+4.43vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.88+6.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.99+4.84vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.08+3.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.86-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-4.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.07+0.51vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.60+1.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.79-0.40vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.90-1.95vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.24-4.29vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.55-5.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-5.50vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-5.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Boston University0.974.6%1st Place
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7.29North Carolina State University1.997.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College1.616.3%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College0.882.5%1st Place
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9.84Yale University0.993.7%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College1.084.5%1st Place
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6.28Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island2.7824.5%1st Place
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9.51Boston College1.074.5%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College0.602.9%1st Place
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10.6Brown University0.793.9%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College0.904.0%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.245.3%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University1.555.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University0.974.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| Scott Harris | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Graham Ness | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.5% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| William Bailey | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.