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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University0.99+9.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.07+7.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78-0.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.60+6.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04+3.55vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+2.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.86-1.48vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.55-0.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97-0.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.08-2.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88-2.65vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.90-3.91vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.61-7.51vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-5.34vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.79-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Yale University0.993.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston College1.074.4%1st Place
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7.18North Carolina State University1.998.6%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island2.7824.7%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College0.602.9%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University0.974.8%1st Place
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6.52Brown University1.868.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University1.555.9%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.245.1%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College0.883.3%1st Place
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10.09Eckerd College0.903.5%1st Place
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7.49Boston College1.617.3%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University0.692.7%1st Place
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10.54Brown University0.793.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petru Neagu | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Scott Harris | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.7% | 21.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Graham Ness | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.