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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.00+4.10vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.53+4.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+0.83vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.70+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.47-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.67vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39+2.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.03-1.53vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.19+1.76vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.54+2.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.84-1.83vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.88vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.18-2.21vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.92-2.27vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Stanford University1.0011.8%1st Place
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6.88San Diego State University0.536.8%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.5019.5%1st Place
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5.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.9%1st Place
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5.67University of Southern California0.709.6%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii1.4720.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.2%1st Place
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10.81Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.035.5%1st Place
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11.76San Diego State University-1.191.0%1st Place
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13.39California State University Channel Islands-1.540.8%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Berkeley-0.842.0%1st Place
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12.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.2%1st Place
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11.79San Diego State University-1.181.1%1st Place
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12.2Santa Clara University-1.381.1%1st Place
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13.73Arizona State University-1.920.5%1st Place
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11.98Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Cornell | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 19.5% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.0% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 27.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.