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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.37+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.94+0.99vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.53+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.21-2.36vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.18-0.53vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-3.22vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.12vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.01-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University0.530.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
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5.47Michigan Technological University0.180.0%1st Place
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3.78Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.88Hope College-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 31.8% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 18.9% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Hodges | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.3% | 26.1% | 13.5% | 4.4% |
| Braden Solum | 27.0% | 23.5% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 29.0% | 21.6% | 7.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Glen Ko | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 28.4% | 45.1% |
| Marian Schubert | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 31.5% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.