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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.61+5.41vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.99+6.07vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+3.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04+3.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.07+2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-4.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.60+2.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.08-0.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.24-2.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-1.26vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-3.28vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-3.58vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-5.35vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.79-5.51vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.90-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Brown University1.868.3%1st Place
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7.41Boston College1.617.6%1st Place
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7.13North Carolina State University1.997.8%1st Place
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10.07Yale University0.993.5%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University1.555.4%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.2%1st Place
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9.53Boston College1.074.9%1st Place
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3.59University of Rhode Island2.7824.3%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.603.5%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.083.6%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University1.245.5%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College0.883.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
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10.49Brown University0.793.1%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College0.903.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Scott Harris | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.3% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| William Bailey | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.