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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+3.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+2.02vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+2.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+1.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+0.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.71+3.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.51-1.85vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-6.81vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-4.16vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.81+1.32vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.24-4.91vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.11-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.69Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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16.32Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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15.55Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 27.8% | 13.0% | 2.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Charles Peck | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 22.0% | 67.9% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 48.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.