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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+3.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+2.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+0.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92-0.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-0.45vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-2.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.71vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.24-2.85vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-2.48vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81+0.38vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.11-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.78Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.52Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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16.38Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.55Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 26.5% | 12.7% | 2.1% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 20.3% | 70.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 10.4% | 49.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.