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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.07+7.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+0.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.08+5.61vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+2.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.61+1.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.99+3.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55+0.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+0.62vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.88+0.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-1.62vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.90-1.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.79-2.35vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-3.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.60-3.77vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-6.20vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.24-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University1.8610.2%1st Place
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9.5Boston College1.074.5%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island2.7825.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.084.1%1st Place
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7.19North Carolina State University1.996.3%1st Place
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7.47Boston College1.616.9%1st Place
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10.16Yale University0.993.2%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University1.555.9%1st Place
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9.62Boston University0.974.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College0.883.5%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.2%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College0.903.3%1st Place
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10.65Brown University0.793.2%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University0.693.9%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College0.602.6%1st Place
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9.8Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University1.245.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.1% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Scott Harris | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Graham Ness | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% |
| William Bailey | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.