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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.61+6.54vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+5.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.07+5.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.24+3.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.99+3.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.08+2.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-4.51vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.88+1.50vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.60+1.27vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-0.15vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.79-1.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.86-6.67vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-4.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04-5.57vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-6.19vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.90-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston College1.617.3%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University1.996.9%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University1.556.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston College1.074.4%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University1.244.5%1st Place
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9.96Yale University0.993.4%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College1.084.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island2.7824.6%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College0.883.0%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College0.603.0%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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10.61Brown University0.793.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University1.869.8%1st Place
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9.73Boston University0.974.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.3%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.974.4%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College0.904.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ness | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Harris | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| William Bailey | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.