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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+2.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.99+8.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.07+6.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+2.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+4.52vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24+2.72vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.88+3.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.04+1.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.79+1.72vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.61-2.72vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-2.49vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.99-4.81vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.08-3.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-4.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.60-3.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-5.05vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.90-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Rhode Island2.7825.3%1st Place
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10.08Yale University0.993.2%1st Place
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9.47Boston College1.074.2%1st Place
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6.14Brown University1.869.6%1st Place
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9.52Boston University0.974.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University1.245.5%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College0.883.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.044.5%1st Place
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10.72Brown University0.792.9%1st Place
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7.28Boston College1.617.8%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University1.556.7%1st Place
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7.19North Carolina State University1.997.3%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.973.4%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College0.602.6%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College0.903.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.3% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| Graham Ness | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Scott Harris | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.