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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+6.53vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.63+7.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.73vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.22+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.87+7.64vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.31+8.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81-0.53vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.64-5.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.25vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.06vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.35-3.99vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.83-2.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-10.39vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.08-0.72vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.38-3.18vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-1.58vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-7.14vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-4.14vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-10.93vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles0.44-9.56vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-8.21vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-0.36-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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10.66California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.86Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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10.66California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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17.2University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.47University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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10.66California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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11.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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11.22Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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18.28University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Berkeley0.380.0%1st Place
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19.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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19.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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16.44University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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18.79University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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19.9University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Buckstaff | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.