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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.33+2.24vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.15+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.15vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40-0.61vs Predicted
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5Bates College-2.96+1.34vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.85-1.94vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.90-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Bates College-0.3318.7%1st Place
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2.67Bowdoin College0.1526.4%1st Place
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2.85University of New Hampshire-0.0023.2%1st Place
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3.39Bates College-0.4016.4%1st Place
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6.34Bates College-2.961.5%1st Place
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4.06Middlebury College-0.8510.2%1st Place
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5.46Bates College-1.903.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 18.7% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Preston Anderson | 26.4% | 25.2% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| James Sullivan | 23.2% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 16.4% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 18.1% | 68.0% |
| Joseph Gehl | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 26.1% | 17.0% | 3.7% |
| Mia Gates | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 41.4% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.