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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.15+1.79vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.05vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.85+0.27vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33-1.50vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.96+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Maine-1.90-1.13vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.90-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Bowdoin College0.1526.1%1st Place
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3.49Bates College-0.4017.2%1st Place
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3.05University of New Hampshire-0.0021.7%1st Place
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4.27Middlebury College-0.859.3%1st Place
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3.5Bates College-0.3317.0%1st Place
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7.14Bates College-2.961.6%1st Place
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5.87University of Maine-1.903.9%1st Place
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5.89Bates College-1.903.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Anderson | 26.1% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 17.2% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 21.7% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 17.0% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 63.1% |
| Taylor Davis | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 31.6% | 16.9% |
| Mia Gates | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 31.6% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.