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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+2.35vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.85+2.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.15-0.37vs Predicted
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4Bates College-2.96+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.10vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.90-0.62vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Bates College-0.4017.1%1st Place
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4.06Middlebury College-0.8510.0%1st Place
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2.63Bowdoin College0.1527.8%1st Place
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6.44Bates College-2.961.4%1st Place
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2.9University of New Hampshire-0.0023.4%1st Place
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5.38Bates College-1.903.8%1st Place
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3.25Bates College-0.3316.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 17.1% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 3.2% |
| Preston Anderson | 27.8% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 14.5% | 72.4% |
| James Sullivan | 23.4% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Mia Gates | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 43.6% | 20.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 16.7% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.