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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.15+1.58vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+1.41vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.85+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.15vs Predicted
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5Bates College-2.96+1.41vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.90-0.57vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Bowdoin College0.1529.8%1st Place
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3.41Bates College-0.4016.1%1st Place
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4.08Middlebury College-0.859.2%1st Place
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2.85University of New Hampshire-0.0023.2%1st Place
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6.41Bates College-2.961.4%1st Place
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5.43Bates College-1.903.0%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.3317.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Anderson | 29.8% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 16.1% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Gehl | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 3.5% |
| James Sullivan | 23.2% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 15.6% | 71.3% |
| Mia Gates | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 43.0% | 21.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 17.2% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.