← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.92+3.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.64+4.15vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.74vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+6.69vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.68vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University2.22+1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.31+10.40vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+3.79vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University1.51+1.94vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.69vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine1.35+1.14vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.44+4.52vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.70vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.87+0.46vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.80vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.31vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis0.83-2.81vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley0.38-1.44vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine0.08-0.74vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.26vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-1.66vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-0.36-1.81vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.20vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-9.60vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-18.39vs Predicted
-
27University of California at San Diego1.81-17.36vs Predicted
-
28University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-19.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.98Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
-
6.15University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.69California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
7.89Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
-
17.4University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.94Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.69California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
16.52University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
14.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
-
14.2University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
10.69California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
14.19University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
16.56University of California at Berkeley0.380.0%1st Place
-
18.26University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
18.74University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
19.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
-
20.19University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
-
19.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
-
15.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Buckstaff | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.