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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.88+2.77vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.95+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+0.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.43-1.00vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.24-0.56vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.36-1.40vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.55-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Bates College-0.8815.0%1st Place
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3.9Bates College-0.9513.5%1st Place
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3.51Bates College-0.7019.1%1st Place
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3.0Bowdoin College-0.4324.6%1st Place
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4.44University of New Hampshire-1.249.3%1st Place
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4.6Middlebury College-1.369.8%1st Place
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4.79Bates College-1.558.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Small | 15.0% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Lila Schaefer | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Colby Green | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 24.6% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Robert Caldwell | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| Teo Flesher | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 24.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.