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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+5.25vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.22+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81+4.81vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.25vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.52vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.63+1.52vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51+0.95vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.31+4.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.70vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.83-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine1.35-5.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-10.56vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley0.92-5.01vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.36-1.06vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.11vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine0.08-4.59vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley0.38-6.78vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-6.44vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-6.17vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles0.44-10.58vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-12.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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7.89Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.81University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.95Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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17.14University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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14.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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19.94University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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18.41University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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17.22University of California at Berkeley0.380.0%1st Place
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18.56University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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19.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Buckstaff | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.