← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.70+2.84vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College-0.43+1.34vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-1.24+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.36+1.09vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.88-0.87vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.95-1.70vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-1.55-1.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Maine-1.47-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.84Bates College-0.7016.0%1st Place
-
3.34Bowdoin College-0.4323.2%1st Place
-
4.79University of New Hampshire-1.249.7%1st Place
-
5.09Middlebury College-1.368.2%1st Place
-
4.13Bates College-0.8814.8%1st Place
-
4.3Bates College-0.9512.8%1st Place
-
5.38Bates College-1.557.0%1st Place
-
5.12University of Maine-1.478.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Green | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 23.2% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Robert Caldwell | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Teo Flesher | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Kieran Small | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Lila Schaefer | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 24.4% |
| Maeve Merkle-Scotland | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.