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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.00+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.47+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.23vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.94vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+4.50vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.70-1.26vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.53-1.08vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+2.94vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.19+1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.03-4.48vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.54+0.48vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.38-1.80vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.18-3.21vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.92-2.10vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Stanford University1.0013.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Hawaii1.4719.2%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.5018.2%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.8%1st Place
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5.94California Poly Maritime Academy0.539.1%1st Place
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10.5Arizona State University-0.392.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Southern California0.7010.0%1st Place
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6.92San Diego State University0.535.8%1st Place
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11.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.4%1st Place
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11.99San Diego State University-1.190.6%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Berkeley-0.842.4%1st Place
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7.52University of California at San Diego0.034.6%1st Place
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13.48California State University Channel Islands-1.540.9%1st Place
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12.2Santa Clara University-1.381.1%1st Place
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11.79San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
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13.9Arizona State University-1.920.8%1st Place
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11.97Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Cornell | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 18.2% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 22.4% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 29.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.