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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.88+2.78vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+1.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.43-0.01vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.55+0.85vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.95-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.24-1.58vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.36-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Bates College-0.8814.8%1st Place
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3.46Bates College-0.7018.1%1st Place
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2.99Bowdoin College-0.4324.6%1st Place
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4.85Bates College-1.557.6%1st Place
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3.92Bates College-0.9514.2%1st Place
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4.42University of New Hampshire-1.2410.1%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College-1.3610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Small | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Colby Green | 18.1% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 24.6% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 27.4% |
| Lila Schaefer | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Robert Caldwell | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
| Teo Flesher | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.