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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.70+2.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College-0.43+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.24+1.34vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.55+0.88vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.36-0.38vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.95-2.14vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.88-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Bates College-0.7018.0%1st Place
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3.04Bowdoin College-0.4323.5%1st Place
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4.34University of New Hampshire-1.2410.7%1st Place
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4.88Bates College-1.558.4%1st Place
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4.62Middlebury College-1.369.0%1st Place
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3.86Bates College-0.9515.7%1st Place
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3.76Bates College-0.8814.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Green | 18.0% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 23.5% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Robert Caldwell | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 30.0% |
| Teo Flesher | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| Lila Schaefer | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| Kieran Small | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.