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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+7.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+3.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.22vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.05+3.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+1.98vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America1.31+3.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99-0.46vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.44+2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.57-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-1.95vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.46-7.14vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-3.38vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.39-5.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-8.97vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.2010.5%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.344.8%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University2.7610.5%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.0%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University2.055.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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11.99Catholic University of America1.312.8%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.996.6%1st Place
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12.01Old Dominion University1.442.6%1st Place
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10.37University of Wisconsin1.604.2%1st Place
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11.17University of Miami1.573.6%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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6.86Tulane University2.4611.1%1st Place
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11.62Hampton University1.472.8%1st Place
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10.95Jacksonville University1.393.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.1%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College1.343.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Matt Logue | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 15.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Richard McCann | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| David Eastwood | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| matthew Monts | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.