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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.25vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+6.90vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.50+9.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-1.13vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+4.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.26vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University1.42+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.79+2.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.23vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.50+1.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.38+4.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.58-1.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.71vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.60-7.78vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.71-9.16vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-6.53vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.90-7.79vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.50-6.68vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.40-3.98vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-3.23vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego0.39-9.11vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.11-4.52vs Predicted
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26-1.18-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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12.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.14Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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18.42University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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16.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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12.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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18.02University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
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19.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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20.48Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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20.84-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 20.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 28.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.