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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+7.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+5.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.12vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.96vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+5.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+1.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44+2.99vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.20-3.63vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-4.11vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.39-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.57-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.60-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-3.86vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.05-6.93vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.34-4.98vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Georgetown University2.7611.8%1st Place
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9.27Boston College2.345.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.7%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.9%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.3%1st Place
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12.0Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University1.442.6%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.2010.4%1st Place
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6.89Tulane University2.469.7%1st Place
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10.64Jacksonville University1.393.8%1st Place
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11.25University of Miami1.573.2%1st Place
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10.48University of Wisconsin1.603.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University2.055.1%1st Place
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12.02Eckerd College1.342.9%1st Place
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11.38Hampton University1.473.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| David Eastwood | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Matt Logue | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| matthew Monts | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.