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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.55vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+4.59vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.44+9.13vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.05+5.10vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+5.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.99+2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.57+4.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.30vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-2.84vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.41vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.47-1.39vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.39-3.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-7.15vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.24-6.84vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America1.31-5.32vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Yale University3.2010.2%1st Place
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6.59Tulane University2.4610.9%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University2.056.4%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.996.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Miami1.573.3%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.769.4%1st Place
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9.39Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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10.29University of Wisconsin1.604.2%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.6%1st Place
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11.61Hampton University1.472.6%1st Place
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10.82Jacksonville University1.394.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.208.2%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.245.7%1st Place
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11.68Catholic University of America1.313.0%1st Place
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11.99Eckerd College1.342.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% |
| Matt Logue | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Richard McCann | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| David Eastwood | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| matthew Monts | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.