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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+7.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+7.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+4.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+1.29vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.05+3.09vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+3.14vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44+3.08vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America1.31+1.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.60-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-4.91vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.57-2.66vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-5.86vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.46-9.15vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.48vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Georgetown University2.7613.7%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.345.6%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.393.2%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.2011.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.055.1%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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12.08Old Dominion University1.443.0%1st Place
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11.61Catholic University of America1.313.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.7%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin1.603.9%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Miami1.573.2%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College2.244.5%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.468.8%1st Place
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11.52Hampton University1.473.1%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.342.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| David Eastwood | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% |
| matthew Monts | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.