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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+8.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+3.45vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.57+6.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.05+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+0.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44+2.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.99-1.34vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.96vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.18vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.34-2.84vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.39-5.31vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.60-6.61vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University2.7611.2%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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6.78Tulane University2.468.9%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami1.572.6%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.245.9%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University2.054.5%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.7%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University1.443.3%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University1.996.5%1st Place
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11.96Catholic University of America1.312.5%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.6%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.4%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.342.5%1st Place
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10.69Jacksonville University1.394.6%1st Place
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10.39University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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11.39Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Richard McCann | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| David Eastwood | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| matthew Monts | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.