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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+5.66vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42+3.13vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+4.48vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.50+5.24vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.50+4.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.79+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.90-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.60-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-4.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.38+2.42vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+1.37vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-6.42vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.58-6.25vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.11-0.58vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.50-7.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego0.39-7.91vs Predicted
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24-1.18-3.27vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley-0.40-6.86vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.13Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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14.24California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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14.24California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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18.42University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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19.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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20.42Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.24California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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15.09University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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20.73-1.180.0%1st Place
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18.14University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 16.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 30.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.