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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+6.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+6.24vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+1.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.23vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46-0.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+1.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99-0.35vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.05-0.99vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.60-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.57-1.96vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.39-3.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.44-2.86vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.99vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.76vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Georgetown University2.7611.6%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.7%1st Place
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9.24Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.8%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.2011.7%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University2.469.3%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.245.8%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.995.5%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University2.055.8%1st Place
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11.68Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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10.47University of Wisconsin1.604.5%1st Place
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11.04University of Miami1.573.4%1st Place
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10.93Jacksonville University1.393.6%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University1.442.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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11.24Hampton University1.474.0%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.342.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Eastwood | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Matt Logue | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Richard McCann | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| matthew Monts | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.