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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.85vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46+3.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.63vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.05+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+4.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.57+3.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-2.11vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.39-0.52vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America1.31-0.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.70-3.60vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-5.85vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.47-4.60vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-4.97vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College0.90-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.2010.3%1st Place
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8.85Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University2.4610.2%1st Place
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8.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.8%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University2.055.4%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont1.584.8%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University2.7612.4%1st Place
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11.1University of Miami1.572.9%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.8%1st Place
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10.48Jacksonville University1.394.6%1st Place
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11.82Catholic University of America1.312.5%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.996.6%1st Place
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10.4University of Wisconsin1.703.9%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.244.7%1st Place
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11.4Hampton University1.473.1%1st Place
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12.03Old Dominion University1.441.9%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College0.902.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Matt Logue | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| David Eastwood | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.