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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+7.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+4.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+2.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20+0.40vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+3.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.340.00vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.05-0.91vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.70vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.44-0.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.57-2.64vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.90-1.61vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.46-9.45vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.70-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Georgetown University2.7611.7%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University1.394.2%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.244.8%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.3%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.2010.0%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.467.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont1.583.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.345.6%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.055.5%1st Place
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11.7Catholic University of America1.313.4%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University1.442.8%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.996.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami1.572.6%1st Place
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13.39Eckerd College0.901.7%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University2.469.8%1st Place
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11.35Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
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10.59University of Wisconsin1.704.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| David Eastwood | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Matt Logue | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| John McKenna | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Richard McCann | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 25.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.