← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.14+4.88vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.03+3.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.97+2.86vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.83+5.88vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.00+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.85+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.51+1.73vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.48vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.00+1.00vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.09-4.32vs Predicted
-
11Boston College1.16-2.35vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.84-1.92vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.79+1.87vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College1.14-5.18vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy-0.23-1.51vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.20-6.99vs Predicted
-
17Boston University0.64-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Brown University2.1411.8%1st Place
-
5.68Yale University2.0311.9%1st Place
-
5.86University of Rhode Island1.9710.9%1st Place
-
9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.833.9%1st Place
-
9.52Northeastern University1.003.6%1st Place
-
6.33Harvard University1.8511.1%1st Place
-
8.73Bowdoin College1.514.6%1st Place
-
10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.0%1st Place
-
10.0Connecticut College1.003.4%1st Place
-
5.68Roger Williams University2.0910.8%1st Place
-
8.65Boston College1.165.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of Vermont0.844.0%1st Place
-
14.87Salve Regina University-0.790.7%1st Place
-
8.82Dartmouth College1.145.1%1st Place
-
13.49Maine Maritime Academy-0.231.4%1st Place
-
9.01Tufts University1.205.1%1st Place
-
10.04Boston University0.643.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| William Hurd | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cody Roe | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 51.5% |
| Turner Ryon | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Courtland Doyle | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.