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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.14+1.70vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.13-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.40+0.58vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.49-2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.08-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.81-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.03-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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5.58University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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3.8Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Johnson | 27.6% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 15.4% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 25.1% | 23.4% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 28.0% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Nelson | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 61.3% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 30.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.