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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+8.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+4.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.02+9.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+4.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+5.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.49+0.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.48vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.77+5.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.11+3.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.54vs Predicted
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12Washington College3.65-0.87vs Predicted
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13Boston University4.07-3.67vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-6.97vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-4.34vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin4.10-7.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine2.83-2.63vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.87vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-9.33vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.60-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.61Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.67Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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14.68Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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11.13Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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14.37University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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15.13University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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11.26SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.6% |
| Quentin Chafee | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Porter | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 22.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.