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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+8.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+4.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+0.86vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.05+2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+2.08vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.39+2.75vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.46-2.26vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.44+1.79vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.70-2.66vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.57-3.74vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.47-4.77vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.90-3.33vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.99-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Bowdoin College2.245.8%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.5%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.2010.5%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.7612.9%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University2.055.9%1st Place
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9.08Boston College2.345.0%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.393.6%1st Place
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6.74Tulane University2.469.8%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.442.8%1st Place
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11.82Catholic University of America1.312.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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10.34University of Wisconsin1.703.8%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.9%1st Place
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11.26University of Miami1.573.0%1st Place
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11.23Hampton University1.473.0%1st Place
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13.67Eckerd College0.901.7%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.996.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| David Eastwood | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| John McKenna | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Richard McCann | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 27.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.