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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+7.00vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+7.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.58+6.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.99+3.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.24vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46-0.04vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America1.31+3.96vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.05+0.07vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.39+0.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.20-4.49vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-2.88vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.60-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.57-2.64vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-6.42vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.44-3.94vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.34-5.08vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.245.1%1st Place
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5.89Georgetown University2.7611.8%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.995.7%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.9%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.469.4%1st Place
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11.96Catholic University of America1.312.5%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University2.055.9%1st Place
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10.85Jacksonville University1.394.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.2010.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.345.5%1st Place
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10.39University of Wisconsin1.603.8%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami1.573.1%1st Place
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8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.5%1st Place
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12.06Old Dominion University1.443.2%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College1.343.0%1st Place
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11.39Hampton University1.473.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% |
| Matt Logue | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Richard McCann | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| matthew Monts | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.