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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.92vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+5.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+4.11vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+1.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.11vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.44+5.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+0.30vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.39+1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.57+1.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.64vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.60-3.41vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-9.00vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America1.31-4.01vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.68vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Yale University3.209.5%1st Place
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8.92Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
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8.95George Washington University2.056.5%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.0%1st Place
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6.82Tulane University2.469.6%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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10.8Jacksonville University1.393.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Miami1.573.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.4%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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10.59University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.7612.6%1st Place
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11.99Catholic University of America1.313.0%1st Place
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11.32Hampton University1.473.2%1st Place
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11.99Eckerd College1.342.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Matt Logue | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| David Eastwood | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Richard McCann | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| matthew Monts | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.