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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+8.29vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.39+8.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+5.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+2.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+4.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+0.90vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.44+4.05vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+0.86vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-4.35vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.05-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.92vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.57-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.60-4.33vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.47-4.66vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America1.31-5.40vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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10.9Jacksonville University1.393.8%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.2010.8%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.245.7%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.7610.8%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.9%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University1.442.6%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.6%1st Place
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10.86University of Vermont1.583.8%1st Place
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6.65Tulane University2.4610.6%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University2.055.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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11.32University of Miami1.573.2%1st Place
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10.67University of Wisconsin1.603.9%1st Place
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11.34Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
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11.6Catholic University of America1.313.0%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College1.342.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| matthew Monts | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.