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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+3.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+3.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+2.87vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+1.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-2.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-3.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05-1.73vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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4.78Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.92Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Marly Isler | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 25.4% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 7.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 19.1% | 59.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 32.7% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.