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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+7.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.39+8.75vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+1.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.38vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76-0.97vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.05+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.57+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.44+1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-0.80vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.86vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-4.88vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-3.40vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.99-7.57vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.34-5.12vs Predicted
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18Catholic University of America1.31-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.4%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.392.9%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.469.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.6%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University2.7610.4%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University2.056.2%1st Place
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11.22University of Miami1.572.8%1st Place
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10.42University of Wisconsin1.704.7%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University1.442.7%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College2.246.2%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.345.8%1st Place
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11.6Hampton University1.472.2%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.343.4%1st Place
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11.78Catholic University of America1.312.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| David Eastwood | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Richard McCann | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 15.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| matthew Monts | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.9% |
| John McKenna | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.