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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.41vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+7.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+5.61vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.58+7.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+2.81vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47+5.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46-0.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.70+1.60vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34+2.18vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.05-1.86vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.29vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.39-2.04vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-4.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.87vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.57-4.76vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-4.95vs Predicted
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18Catholic University of America1.31-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.2010.2%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.246.6%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont1.582.9%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.9%1st Place
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11.56Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University2.469.3%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University2.7612.7%1st Place
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10.6University of Wisconsin1.704.0%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College1.342.8%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University2.055.4%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.6%1st Place
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10.96Jacksonville University1.393.5%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.345.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Miami1.573.8%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University1.442.2%1st Place
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11.96Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| David Eastwood | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| matthew Monts | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% |
| Matt Logue | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Richard McCann | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.3% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.