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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+3.99vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+2.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84-0.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+0.71vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-2.15vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.14vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+0.96vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.96Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.2% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 16.6% | 63.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 34.7% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.