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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.70+8.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+6.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.58+6.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+0.80vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.39+4.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.17vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+0.66vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34+0.20vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47+1.30vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.44+1.34vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-5.09vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.92vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.99-5.22vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-7.10vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.57-4.60vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America1.31-5.06vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.34-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Yale University3.2011.2%1st Place
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10.28University of Wisconsin1.704.2%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University2.055.5%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont1.583.8%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University2.7611.7%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University1.393.8%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.3%1st Place
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9.2Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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11.3Hampton University1.472.9%1st Place
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12.34Old Dominion University1.442.9%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University2.469.4%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.245.4%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.8%1st Place
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11.4University of Miami1.572.9%1st Place
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11.94Catholic University of America1.312.8%1st Place
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12.02Eckerd College1.342.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Samuel Bartel | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
Matt Logue | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
Connell Phillipps | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
Jack Reiter | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Gordon Gurnell | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Jake Vickers | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
Valerio Palamara | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% |
Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% |
Cameron Giblin | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Alden Grimes | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
David Eastwood | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Richard McCann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% |
John McKenna | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% |
matthew Monts | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.