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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+4.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.73vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+1.02vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13-1.11vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.02Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.18Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.73Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.9% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 6.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 29.6% | 27.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.