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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+5.00vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+2.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.69vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.39+4.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.57+3.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34+0.09vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.70-0.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.99-3.69vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.05-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.22vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-3.52vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America1.31-4.29vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.90-3.38vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.57-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Georgetown University2.7612.6%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.2010.7%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.9%1st Place
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6.79Tulane University2.469.4%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.7%1st Place
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10.73Jacksonville University1.393.4%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.7%1st Place
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11.32University of Miami1.573.0%1st Place
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9.09Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.245.7%1st Place
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10.49University of Wisconsin1.704.8%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.997.0%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University2.055.3%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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11.48Hampton University1.472.6%1st Place
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11.71Catholic University of America1.313.2%1st Place
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13.62Eckerd College0.901.4%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University1.573.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Eastwood | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Richard McCann | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Matt Logue | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| John McKenna | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 27.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.