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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+3.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+1.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-1.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06-2.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.130.00vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-2.92vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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4.98Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.7Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.91Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 22.6% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Marly Isler | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 31.6% | 30.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 5.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 20.5% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.