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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+5.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+6.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.98vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+3.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+4.10vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+0.71vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.05-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.70+0.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-3.97vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.39-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.57-2.72vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-3.82vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America1.31-4.47vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.54vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College0.90-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Tulane University2.469.5%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.3%1st Place
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9.13Boston College2.345.0%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University2.7612.0%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.246.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.2010.6%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.3%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University2.056.5%1st Place
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10.46University of Wisconsin1.704.2%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University1.995.4%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.8%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University1.393.9%1st Place
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11.28University of Miami1.572.9%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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11.53Catholic University of America1.313.1%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
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13.54Eckerd College0.901.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Matt Logue | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| David Eastwood | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Richard McCann | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.