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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.20vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+2.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+1.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01-0.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.13+0.92vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-3.28vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-4.45vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.85Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.88Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 23.3% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 6.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 30.7% | 27.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 19.0% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.