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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.77+8.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+5.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+5.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+1.36vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+2.92vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.09+0.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08-0.26vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.71+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-4.69vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.55-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-7.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69-2.05vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.47-5.99vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Tulane University1.775.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.6%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University2.136.8%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University2.153.9%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.349.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.095.5%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.085.8%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
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9.22University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.5%1st Place
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10.41Jacksonville University1.554.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Miami2.327.8%1st Place
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13.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.691.4%1st Place
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11.01Eckerd College1.472.9%1st Place
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13.92Hampton University0.721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Edward Cook | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew King | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| David Pearce | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 27.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.