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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+6.19vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+8.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.62+5.97vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+4.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.52-1.12vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.77+5.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University4.07-1.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-4.31vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-2.92vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-4.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.11-1.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-3.56vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.04vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-8.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine2.83-4.63vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.02-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.98Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.67Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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14.63Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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14.37University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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13.83Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Quentin Chafee | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 20.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack Porter | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 16.4% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.