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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.76vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.00+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.47+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.35vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.03+1.52vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+4.83vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.70-2.27vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39+1.54vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.54+3.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.85vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.19-0.09vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.18-1.07vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.38-1.88vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.92-1.30vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-3.83vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.5019.9%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University1.0011.5%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii1.4719.1%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.4%1st Place
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7.12San Diego State University0.535.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at San Diego0.035.3%1st Place
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11.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.5%1st Place
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5.73University of Southern California0.709.7%1st Place
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10.54Arizona State University-0.392.4%1st Place
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13.48California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Berkeley-0.842.4%1st Place
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11.91San Diego State University-1.191.5%1st Place
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11.93San Diego State University-1.181.2%1st Place
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12.12Santa Clara University-1.381.0%1st Place
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13.7Arizona State University-1.920.8%1st Place
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12.17Arizona State University-1.530.9%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.5310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 19.9% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Cameron Berry | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 22.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 26.3% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.