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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+8.98vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+5.92vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+5.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.02+1.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.13-1.04vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-0.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34-3.66vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-3.35vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.47-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-6.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-2.90vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.55-6.14vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Tufts University2.154.2%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University1.775.2%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.3%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.005.2%1st Place
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9.24University of Wisconsin2.025.3%1st Place
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7.96George Washington University2.136.9%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.348.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University2.096.6%1st Place
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11.06Eckerd College1.473.4%1st Place
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7.22University of Miami2.327.6%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.691.5%1st Place
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13.1University of Vermont0.711.6%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University1.553.0%1st Place
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13.64Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edward Cook | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| David Pearce | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.