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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+2.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+1.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+0.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-3.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.95vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13-1.11vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.91Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.22Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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4.74Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 6.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 29.1% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 32.5% | 27.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 18.2% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.