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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+3.54vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+2.77vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-0.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71-0.29vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-3.90vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13-1.08vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 24.3% | 21.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 5.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 32.7% | 27.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 18.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.