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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+6.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+3.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.40vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.77+2.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.15+2.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.13-0.85vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-0.77vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.09-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-2.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69+0.97vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.55-3.43vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.47-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-8.67vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-3.23vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.71-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.7311.7%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.005.2%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.348.6%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.5%1st Place
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9.45Tulane University1.775.7%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University2.154.0%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University2.137.5%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University1.814.6%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University2.095.5%1st Place
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9.17University of Wisconsin2.024.8%1st Place
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13.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.691.2%1st Place
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10.57Jacksonville University1.553.4%1st Place
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10.91Eckerd College1.473.3%1st Place
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7.33University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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13.77Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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13.04University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Edward Cook | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| David Pearce | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 27.4% |
| Matthew King | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.