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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+7.49vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+5.35vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+2.21vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.57vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.55+3.93vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.47+3.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.15+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-2.28vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.40vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.77-2.76vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-6.22vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-1.74vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-6.41vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.06vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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9.49University of Wisconsin2.024.5%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University2.137.0%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University2.7510.9%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.1%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.4%1st Place
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10.93Jacksonville University1.553.5%1st Place
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11.43Eckerd College1.473.2%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University2.153.8%1st Place
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7.72University of Miami2.327.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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10.24Tulane University1.773.8%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.347.8%1st Place
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13.26University of Vermont0.711.6%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.9%1st Place
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13.96Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.