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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+4.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+2.95vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+2.79vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84-1.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-1.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-0.89vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71-3.20vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.0Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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4.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.93Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.2% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Marly Isler | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 6.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 18.3% | 61.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 33.0% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.