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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.77+8.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+4.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+4.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.27vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+4.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.13+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02+0.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+1.03vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.71+1.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-5.24vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.55-2.93vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.15-4.76vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-8.19vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.47-5.77vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Tulane University1.775.0%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.7510.3%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.2%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.5%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.1%1st Place
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8.22George Washington University2.136.9%1st Place
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9.49University of Wisconsin2.025.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.2%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.813.9%1st Place
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13.39University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College2.347.6%1st Place
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11.07Jacksonville University1.552.9%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami2.327.2%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College1.473.8%1st Place
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14.23Hampton University0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 22.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.