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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+2.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+3.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02-1.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87-2.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-2.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-2.15vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.05+0.23vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.47-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.83Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.96Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.23Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 17.0% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 21.0% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 11.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 6.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Camille Matile | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 73.2% |
| Astrid Pacini | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 27.3% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.