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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+8.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+5.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+6.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.81+4.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.62vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+2.12vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.77+1.04vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.55+1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+0.08vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-5.96vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-3.81vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-6.22vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.47-3.71vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-2.88vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.32-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53University of Wisconsin2.025.3%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University2.137.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.154.7%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University1.814.3%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.2%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.2%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.3%1st Place
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10.04Tulane University1.774.2%1st Place
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11.13Jacksonville University1.553.7%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.1%1st Place
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6.04Georgetown University2.7510.3%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.085.4%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.347.7%1st Place
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11.29Eckerd College1.473.6%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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14.12Hampton University0.721.4%1st Place
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7.74University of Miami2.327.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Matthew King | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 32.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.