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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.93+5.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+2.17vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+1.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.24vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-3.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.33vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.05+1.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.47-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.17Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.64Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.21Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 4.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 20.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 20.6% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 3.5% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 74.6% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 28.6% | 11.6% |
| Amina Brown | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.